Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

Consumer exuberance can translate into greater spending and faster economic growth, implying a stronger labor market and a potential pick-up in inflation, helping turn the Fed hawkish. This survey’s popularity among analysts (mentioned more frequently than CB Consumer Confidence) is justified because the data here includes interviews conducted up to a day or two before the official release, making it a timely measure of consumer mood, but foremost because it gauges consumer attitudes on financial and income situations. Actual figures beating consensus tend to be USD bullish.

Most recent - Friday 10 May 2024 14:00

Previous
77.2
Forecast
76
Actual
67.4

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 24 May 2024 14:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was 67.4 against a forecast of 76.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 10 May 2024 14:00
76
67.4
Friday 26 April 2024 14:00
77.8
77.2
Friday 12 April 2024 14:00
79
77.9
Thursday 28 March 2024 14:00
76.5
79.4
Friday 15 March 2024 14:00
76.9
76.5
Friday 1 March 2024 15:00
79.6
76.9
Friday 16 February 2024 15:00
80
79.6
Friday 2 February 2024 15:00
78.9
79
Friday 19 January 2024 15:00
70
78.8
Friday 22 December 2023 15:00
69.4
69.7
Friday 8 December 2023 15:00
62
69.4
Wednesday 22 November 2023 15:00
60.5
61.3
Friday 10 November 2023 15:00
63.7
60.4
Friday 27 October 2023 14:00
63
63.8
Friday 13 October 2023 14:00
67.4
63
Friday 29 September 2023 14:00
67.7
68.1
Friday 15 September 2023 14:00
69.1
67.7
Friday 25 August 2023 14:00
71.2
69.5
Friday 11 August 2023 14:00
71
71.2
Friday 28 July 2023 14:00
72.6
71.6
Friday 14 July 2023 14:00
65.5
72.6
Friday 30 June 2023 14:00
63.9
64.4
Friday 16 June 2023 14:00
60
63.9
Friday 26 May 2023 14:00
57.7
59.2
Friday 12 May 2023 14:00
63
57.7
Friday 28 April 2023 14:00
63.5
63.5
Friday 14 April 2023 14:00
62
63.5
Friday 31 March 2023 14:00
63.2
62
Friday 17 March 2023 14:00
67
63.4
Friday 24 February 2023 15:00
66.4
67
Friday 10 February 2023 15:00
65
66.4
Friday 27 January 2023 15:00
64.6
64.9
Friday 13 January 2023 15:00
60.5
64.6
Friday 23 December 2022 15:00
59.1
59.7
Friday 9 December 2022 15:00
53.3
59.1
Wednesday 23 November 2022 15:00
55
56.8
Friday 11 November 2022 15:00
59.5
54.7
Friday 28 October 2022 14:00
59.8
59.9
Friday 14 October 2022 14:00
59
59.8
Friday 30 September 2022 14:00
59.5
58.6
Friday 16 September 2022 14:00
60
59.5
Friday 26 August 2022 14:00
55.2
58.2
Friday 12 August 2022 14:00
52.5
55.1
Friday 29 July 2022 14:00
51.1
51.5
Friday 15 July 2022 14:00
49.9
51.1
Friday 24 June 2022 14:00
50.2
50
Friday 10 June 2022 14:00
58
50.2
Friday 27 May 2022 14:00
59.1
58.4
Friday 13 May 2022 14:00
64
59.1
Friday 29 April 2022 14:00
65.7
65.2
Thursday 14 April 2022 14:00
59
65.7
Friday 25 March 2022 14:00
59.7
59.4
Friday 11 March 2022 15:00
61.4
59.7
Friday 25 February 2022 15:00
61.7
62.8
Friday 11 February 2022 15:00
67.5
61.7
Friday 28 January 2022 15:00
68.7
67.2
Friday 14 January 2022 15:00
70
68.8
Thursday 23 December 2021 15:00
70.4
70.6
Friday 10 December 2021 15:00
67.1
70.4
Wednesday 24 November 2021 15:00
66.9
67.4
Friday 12 November 2021 15:00
72.4
66.8
Friday 29 October 2021 14:00
71.4
71.7
Friday 15 October 2021 14:00
73.1
71.4
Friday 1 October 2021 14:00
71
72.8
Friday 17 September 2021 14:00
72.2
71
Friday 27 August 2021 14:00
70.7
70.3
Friday 13 August 2021 14:00
81.2
70.2
Friday 30 July 2021 14:00
80.8
81.2
Friday 16 July 2021 14:00
86.5
80.8
Friday 25 June 2021 14:00
86.5
85.5
Friday 11 June 2021 14:00
84
86.4
Friday 28 May 2021 14:00
82.9
82.9
Friday 14 May 2021 14:00
90.4
82.8

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index result:

PreviousLatest
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-236B$210B
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change209K231K
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change48.545.9
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change54.452.2
ISM Services PMIBearish change51.449.4
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change53.459.2
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change50.951.3
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4.1%3.9%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.7%62.7%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change315K175K
U6 Underemployment RateBearish change7.3%7.4%
Unemployment RateBearish change3.8%3.9%
Factory Orders (MoM)Bullish change1.2%1.6%
Initial Jobless Claims(no change)208K208K
Nonfarm ProductivityBearish change3.5%0.3%
Unit Labor CostsBullish change0%4.7%
Challenger Job CutsBearish change90.309K64.789K
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change47.448.6
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBearish change51.449.1
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change50.349.2
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBullish change55.860.9
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change8.813M8.488M
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change208K192K
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change41.437.9
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%1.2%
Employment Cost IndexBullish change0.9%1.2%

About Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:University of Michigan
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly

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